Skip to main content

Don't Know

People who want a crystal ball on the November Presidential election take polls and some of these polls are extensive like when Morning Consultant canvased 44k people/citizens/voter(?) to give a synopsis of who's the best bet for GOPers to beat Hitlery - no surprise, it's Gov. K in a walk. More people in more States like the mailman's son and at this point, as all thoughtful people know, Kasich is the only Republican who can win. But there's one group of people that pollsters never seem to take into consideration when compiling winners and losers and ironically this group of simpletons are the ones who actually make the decision on who gets elected. I'm talking about the Americans who "Don't Know" or have no opinion on the matter - they just can't get it together to have a favorite candidate at this point in the campaign. They will decide some time in the nearish future - probably over the two weeks leading up to the first Tuesday in November but really aren't going to bother themselves about all of this bullshit until after Labor day and maybe not until after Halloween. They don't think there's much of a difference in the choices and it's all just a circus anyway where people lie and cheat and spend a lot of money making fools of themselves for the privilege of riding in limos, ordering around toadies and boot-lickers and passing laws.

Each of the two major political parties has a dedicated group of true believers that comprise roughly 37% to 43% of the voting public. They will vote for a Democrat or Republican no matter who gets chosen as the chief cheerleader for the cause. But there are always 15% to 20% of the great unwashed who Don't Know and not just about politics either - Coke vs. Pepsi gets about the same number of mushy, middle of the road, non-deciders. These Royal Crown Cola drinkers are the people that our elections hinge on and have the final say. They don't watch the news. They are not engaged in the process. They don't read the KOTCB blog. These people are tending their garden, throwing around the frisbee, sniffing a wine glass, petting their dog and spinning some classic vinyl on their turntable daydreaming about bedtime. They'll vote for someone in November but they probably won't know for sure who it's going to be until they draw the curtain in the voting booth. Making a prediction about what these Don't Know types will do in November is pure folly (and these predictions are always made by someone in the 37% die-hard group for a particular party) and nobody should do anything, political or otherwise, based on their non-opinion.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

The Real Story with Gretchen Carlson

She was "sexy", but "too much hard work."

I'm a regular Fox & Friends viewer (mostly in protest of the other insipid morning programs like Today and Good Morning America) so over the years I've gotten to know Gretchen Carlson pretty well. Stuck between Steve and Brian she always seemed a prudish scold with an irritating, self-righteous demeanor that I simply put up with because I figured some people in the Fox audience actually liked her persona. It was obvious that Steve and Brian did not, but they were stuck with her like so many talking heads and had to make the best of it - which they did. Besides, she was no worse than any of the other women on morning show TV - I mean, you're only going to find a certain kind of person to do this kind of work and that kind of person is the Gretchen Carlson kind. Then, one day, she was gone and replaced by Elisabeth Hasselbeck and the F&F ratings began to climb, and climb and climb - in two months viewershi…

The Democracy Quirk

Let it be said that Politico is one of the most worthless web sites with clout on the internet - it's like the Washington Post after a night of hard drinking in the Georgetown bars that passed out on a friends couch. Predictable and stupid at the same time - Also, the editors appear to despise democracy as a political science and as practiced here in the USA. Their latest "explanation" for the Trump phenomenon takes aim at the voters and their knowing ignorance which can be easily explained by the Dunning-Kruger Effect. The article written by shrink/educator David Dunning illuminates a big, glaring problem in any democracy, and that is, "we all run the risk of being too ill-informed to notice when our own favored candidates or national leaders make catastrophic misjudgments." Shit, now you tell us, for surely this is not a problem unique to 2016 and probably was in effect in 2000 and 1980 and 1968 and so on...
But as a psychologist who has studied human behavi…

Running Fence 2

You probably know that the Congress (specifically the Senate) and the POTUS are at loggerheads over Federal funding for the Big Beautiful Wall to be built along the US southern boarder. The reasons for this impasse are long and complex so a quick review of how we got here might be in order.

The Elvis from Queens glided down the escalator at Trump Tower (corner of 57th & 5th) and declared to America and the World that he intended to build A Great Wall across the southern boarder when he became POTUS because this alternate speech was never going to happen (KOTCB Alternate Universe 06/15/2015)A few weeks later candidate Trump was presented with a big fat brick of pain and suffering that served as the cornerstone of his campaign (KOTCB Dirty Sanchez)The physical Wall served as a curative slap in the face of the DC establishment who had, over the years, constructed an elaborate Folly Wall in place of the real thing (KOTCB Decius drops the mic)The idea of the Big Beautiful Wall began to…